Negative Cash Flow Meaning Examples How To Interpret

Negative Cash Flow Meaning

In simple words, it means a business scenario when the firm spends more cash than it generates. It is a prevalent situation for firms in their growth phase as they need to spend money to fuel growth, acquire customers, or set up distribution channels. In simple terms, it’s a game of numbers where the incoming cash is less than the outgoing money. In such a situation, the deficit should be supported by equity infusion, debt funding, or both.

Formula

This concept is not new but very much implicit in the cash flow calculations. The simplest equation to understand this concept mathematically is understanding the negative cash flow calculation from core business activities.

Cash Flow = Cash Inflows – Cash Outflows

If this number is negative, it denotes a deficit and is termed negative cash flow.

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Basic Calculation (with Example)

Consider a firm XYZ with the following statement of cash flowsStatement Of Cash FlowsA Statement of Cash Flow is an accounting document that tracks the incoming and outgoing cash and cash equivalents from a business.read more.

At first glance, the company looks in a very bad state as the cash flow is $ -80,000. However, if we dive in further and, rather than looking at the final cash flow number, look at its various constituents, our perception of the current state of the business might change. The cash flow from operating activitiesCash Flow From Operating ActivitiesCash flow from Operations is the first of the three parts of the cash flow statement that shows the cash inflows and outflows from core operating business in an accounting year. Operating Activities includes cash received from Sales, cash expenses paid for direct costs as well as payment is done for funding working capital.read more is positive, suggesting that the firm is doing well in core business activities. However, cash flow generated from investing Cash Flow Generated From InvestingCash flow from investing activities refer to the money acquired or spent on the purchase or disposal of the fixed assets (both tangible and intangible) for the business purpose. For instance, the purchase of land and joint venture investment is cash outflow, while equipment sale is a cash inflow.read more and financing activitiesFinancing ActivitiesThe various transactions that involve the movement of funds between the company and its investors, owners, or creditors in order to achieve long-term growth are referred to as financing activities. Such activities can be analyzed in the financial section of the company’s cash flow statement.read more is negative. It might be because the management seeks good potential in future growth and wants to spend on it. For example, a large part of the money has been spent on buying additional equipment and plans, emphasizing that a firm is laying out plans for future expansion and growth.

Practical Example

Consider below the snapshot of cash flow from operating activitiesOperating ActivitiesOperating activities generate the majority of the company’s cash flows since they are directly linked to the company’s core business activities such as sales, distribution, and production.read more of internet Major Netflix. Looking at the final numbers, it may seem like the firm is doing badly. However, diving further reveals that the firm is trying to increase content on its portal, leading to negative cash flow. Therefore, it should be a long-term strategic initiative as part of growth expansion plans.

source: Netflix SEC Filings

Interpretation of Negative Cash Flow

#1 – Negative cash flow is very much a part of the business – No business across the globe has not faced such a situation. It might be a temporary situation that might have arisen due to the cyclic challenges to the business in which the firm operates or a new competitor entry, cash flow crunch due to some natural disaster, or sudden regulatory changes.#2 – Better assessment of growth opportunities and evolution for the future – Negative cash flow is sometimes an indicator of how the firm is trying to expand and how aggressively it is doing so. A firm should consider it an opportunity cost to draw out its expansion plans and execute them. It becomes imperative for the firm to grow and evolve. Else the ruthless competition will kill them. We have numerous such examples in history where the firms were not only cash-rich but also market leaders. But they were too complacent and refused to evolve. Who can forget the words of the Nokia CEO – “we didn’t do anything wrong, but somehow we lost.” They didn’t invest and adapt to the changing market conditions. Eventually, they were acquired by Microsoft.#3 – Growth potential – It is an indicator of the firm’s financial health. I studied it as a pattern; it can help investors gauge their investments and calculate ROICalculate ROIThe return on investment formula measures the gain or loss made on an investment relative to the amount invested. The net income divided by the original capital cost of investment. Return on Investment Formula = (Net Profit / Cost of Investment) * 100
read more. If the pattern suggests that negative cash flow is regularly decreasing, it should suggest that the firm is recovering well and the long-term strategic growth is intact. However, if there is acyclicity in a pattern, it should suggest that external factors play a lot in the firm’s business. For example, crude prices weigh a lot on the airline business. This is certainly not a favorable scenario for investors.

Disadvantages

#1 – Cash Crunch – Negative cash flow can lead to a cash crunch. It might, in turn, lead to a delay in payments to suppliers and vendors. This may affect your relationship with the vendors leading to poor service or even termination of contracts. Similarly, cash crunch situations can also force management to delay the employees’ salaries. This can lead to a high attrition rate and loss of talent to competitors.#2 – Increased Bank Charges and Interest Rate Risk – As discussed above, negative cash flow must be funded by either the equity infusion or debt funding. Debt finding comes with a cost as the interest has to be paid back. This can put constraints on the long-term profitability of the firm. Also, there is an interest rate riskInterest Rate RiskThe risk of an asset’s value changing due to interest rate volatility is known as interest rate risk. It either makes the security non-competitive or makes it more valuable. read more involved as the interest rate may rise in the future, leading to increased interest payout (in the case of floating loans).#3 – Equity DilutionEquity DilutionEquity dilution is a method used by the companies to raise capital for their business and projects by offering ownership in exchange. This process, therefore, reduces or dilutes the privilege of existing owners.read more – If the external funding is done through equity infusion, it may be at the cost of diluting equity ownership, which has its implications. It affects the management’s decision-making power, which makes it tough to implement long-term strategic plans. Also, there is always a danger of a hostile takeoverHostile TakeoverA hostile takeover is a process where a company acquires another company against the will of its management.read more.

Conclusion

Unless the problem of negative cash flow becomes a common practice across multiple quarters, investors need not worry. It is part of business activities where firms sometimes have to spend more to evolve and find growth opportunities. However, investors should exercise caution as it can be a sign of a flawed business plan, lack of growth opportunities, or a case of missed opportunities or fraud.